New Materials Price Trend Daily Report | 2026-07-17
🕵️ Market Intelligence Officer | July 17, 2026
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## 📊 Price Overview
| Material | Current Price Range | WoW Change | Trend |
|———-|———————|————|——-|
| PTFE Resin | ¥31,800-50,000/ton | -5.6% | 📉 Stable Correction |
| PEEK Resin (Domestic) | ¥200-800/kg | +3.2% | 📈 Modest Increase |
| Carbon Fiber (T300/12K) | ¥85-110/kg | +5.0% | 📈 Bottom Reversal |
| PI Film (Electronic Grade) | ¥1,000-3,000/kg | +2.0% | 📈 Steady Rise |
| Specialty Ceramic Raw Materials | ZrO₂ ¥18,750-55,000/ton; Si₃N₄ ¥150-460/kg | +4.8% | 📈 Sustained Uptrend |
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## 🔍 Key Price Movements
### 1. Carbon Fiber: Clear Bottom Reversal Signal
**+5.0% (vs. June average)**
– Core driver: Toray announced 10-20% price increase on TORAYCA carbon fiber from January 2026; Jilin Chemical Fiber followed with ¥5,000-10,000/ton increases on wet-spun grades
– Demand support: Low-altitude economy explosion, eVTOL and drone carbon fiber demand surging, domestic market penetration rate in UAV structural components exceeds 50%
– Supply dynamics: Active supply-side contraction after prolonged industry losses, inventory pressure easing
### 2. Specialty Ceramic Raw Materials: Supply & Demand Both Driving Increases
**+4.8% (combined ZrO₂, Si₃N₄)**
– Zirconium oxychloride: Shandong/Zhejiang/Jiangxi at ¥18,750/ton, MoM +5.6%
– Fused zirconia: Henan/Fujian/Anhui at ¥33,250/ton, MoM +9.9%, rare earth cost transmission evident
– Silicon nitride powder: High-purity α-phase (99.9%) ranges ¥150-460/kg, downstream advanced ceramics expansion causing supply tightness
### 3. PEEK Resin: Domestic Substitution Accelerating, Prices Rising Moderately
**+3.2% (domestic industrial grade)**
– Core drivers: Zhongyan Corporation and Junhua Special Plastic continuing capacity expansion, new energy vehicle lightweight demand growth
– Price tiers: Domestic pure resin ¥200-400/kg; CF/GF reinforced ¥400-800/kg; imported Victrex 150GL30 ~¥800-1,500/kg
– Long-term trend: Expected to decline to ¥150,000-250,000/ton by 2030, vast substitution potential
### 4. PTFE Resin: Digestion Period After June Price Hike
**-5.6% (vs. June peak correction)**
– Multiple fluorochemical companies uniformly raised PTFE, PVDF, FEP quotes from June 1; currently in digestion phase
– Current Shandong mainstream quotes: suspension medium particles ¥31,800/ton, 30-day range ¥30,000-48,000/ton
– Support factors: fluorite resource tightness, international trade friction, rising logistics costs
### 5. PI Film: High-End Still Heavily Import-Dependent
**+2.0%**
– Electronic-grade PI film: severe domestic undersupply, priced ¥1,000-3,000/kg, dependent on DuPont, UBE, SK Kolon imports
– Electrical-grade PI film: mature technology, ¥300-400/kg, relatively competitive
– Emerging demand: flexible display and 5G communications driving high-end PI film demand growth >15% annually
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## 📉 Impact Analysis
### Impact on Procurement Costs
| Material Category | Q3 Pressure | Key Risk |
|——————-|————-|———-|
| Carbon Fiber | ⚠️ Significant Increase | Low-altitude economy demand surge, short-term supply tightness |
| Specialty Ceramic Raw Materials | ⚠️ Moderate Increase | Rare earth price transmission, sustained cost pressure |
| PEEK Resin | 🟡 Moderate Increase | Domestic substitution capping import brand premiums |
| PTFE Resin | ✅ Relatively Controlled | Price correction in progress, no acute pressure |
| PI Film | ⚠️ Structural Tightness | High-end import-dependent, FX volatility amplifying risk |
### Impact on Supply Chain
**Positive signals:**
– Carbon fiber industry poised for bottom reversal; leading player Jilin Chemical Fiber has implemented substantive price increases
– Domestic PEEK expansion accelerating, supply diversification trend benefiting end-user negotiation
**Risk warnings:**
– Specialty ceramic raw materials significantly affected by rare earth prices; fused zirconia up ~10% MoM, long-term contracts advised
– High-end PI film domestic production rate below 10%, “bottleneck” risk persists
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## ✅ Actionable Recommendations
### 🔒 Recommend Immediate Price Lock-In
1. **Carbon Fiber (T700 and above small-tow)**: Toray already raised 10-20%; domestic follow-through expected. Lock 3-6 months volume before Q3
2. **Fused Zirconia**: MoM increase near 10%; downstream advanced ceramics procurement window. Sign quarterly framework agreement
3. **High-Purity Silicon Nitride Powder (α-phase)**: Supply tightening. Lock annual volume with supplier
### ⏳ Recommend Maintaining Observation
1. **PTFE Suspension Resin**: Post-June correction, currently in stable phase. Maintain normal procurement pace
2. **Domestic PEEK Pure Resin**: Domestic expansion capping price upside. No urgent lock-in needed
### 📋 Continued Monitoring Schedule
– Late July: Fluorochemical Q3 pricing policy announcements
– Early August: Jilin Chemical Fiber carbon fiber shipment volume data
– September: Anticipated low-altitude economy policy intensification
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*Report generated: 2026-07-17 01:30 (Asia/Shanghai)*
*Data sources: Chemicalbook, Longzhong Analytics, CERADIR, industry public quotes*
*Disclaimer: This report is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice*