2026-08-26 New Materials Price Trend Daily Report

1. Price Overview

2. Key Movements

• PTFE Resin: Suspension medium quoted at RMB 32,000-35,000/ton this week, -1.5% WoW, down ~35% from the June peak of RMB 51,000/ton. Drivers: concentrated low-end capacity released since 2024 with new East China capacity still ramping; downstream chemical and oil & gas buyers purchasing on demand without restocking; upstream fluorite easing to RMB 3,250-3,350/ton and crude softening to USD 68-72/bbl, weakening cost support. Prices have stabilized at the yearly low with limited rebound momentum.
• PI Film (Electronic Grade): High-end electronic-grade PI film has risen ~50% over the past six months. Demand from AI servers (Rubin platform), advanced packaging (Chiplet/2.5D/3D) and foldable displays is surging simultaneously; the global electronic-grade PI film shortfall has reached 10,000-12,000 tons, with U.S./Japan/Korea leaders (DuPont, Kaneka, SKC) booked through 2027 and essentially no new capacity. Kaneka raised prices 20% in April; DuPont and others 30-50%. This week basic yellow film (RMB 240k-300k/ton) held steady while high-end imported film (RMB 1.0M-2.0M/ton) kept strengthening.
• Specialty Ceramic Raw Material (Zirconia): A “stable base, rising high-end” structural divergence. Zirconium oxychloride at RMB 18,500-19,000/ton (+0.5% WoW); fused zirconia at RMB 33,000-33,500/ton (+26.7% YTD, high-level consolidation). Sinocera raised zirconia powder prices 10-40% from July 27; Japan’s Tosoh halted production due to yttria supply disruption, creating a ~6,000 t/yr global high-end powder gap and pushing yttria-stabilized zirconia (YSZ) into an independent uptrend.
• Carbon Fiber: T300/12K at RMB 85-95/kg (+1.5% WoW); T700 at RMB 100-140/kg. Toray raised prices 10-20% in January and Jilin Chemical / Hengshen / Guangwei lifted prices by RMB 5,000-10,000/ton cumulatively this year, confirming a “value recovery” cycle. High-end T800 and above remains tight with firm pricing.
• PEEK Resin: Industrial-grade domestic at RMB 300-500/kg, firm-to-slightly-higher (+1% WoW). Demand from semiconductors, EVs and medical is growing; Victrex runs near 95% utilization with no expansion before 2027, keeping imports tight. Domestic substitution can cut cost 30-50%.

3. Impact Analysis

• Procurement Cost: The PTFE pullback benefits downstream sealing, anti-corrosion and wire & cable makers on cost; however, rising PI film, high-end zirconia and high-end carbon fiber will directly lift procurement costs for semiconductors, advanced packaging, aerospace and solid-state batteries, with some high-end categories up over 30%.
• Supply Chain: Supply of high-end PI film, high-end zirconia and high-end carbon fiber (T800+) remains tight, making long-term contracts the norm and extending lead times; basic zirconia and low-end PTFE supply stay ample. Geopolitics and export controls (yttria) amplify high-end supply uncertainty, accelerating the domestic-substitution window (zirconia, PEEK, carbon fiber).

4. Action Recommendations

• Lock prices now: 1) High-end electronic-grade PI film (shortage locked to 2027, prices biased to rise – sign long-term agreements); 2) High-end zirconia powder / YSZ (Tosoh gap, accelerating domestic substitution); 3) High-end carbon fiber T700/T800 (upward pricing channel established); 4) Imported PEEK (annual framework pricing to avoid the expected ~8% increase).
• Monitor / wait: 1) PTFE resin (ample capacity, soft prices – buy on demand); 2) Basic electrical-grade PI film (overcapacity, flat pricing); 3) Standard industrial alumina (tracks electrolytic aluminum – purchase opportunistically).

Data sources: 100ppi (SunSirs), Mysteel, CERADIR, Huizheng Insights and public market information. This is market intelligence for reference only and does not constitute investment advice.